Publication

North-eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected seas Tsunami Early Warning and Mitigation System (NEAMTWS): 2030 Strategy

The new ICG/NEAMTWS strategy highlights objectives and foundation activities to further advance and strengthen the resilience of coastal communities along the north-eastern Atlantic, Mediterranean, and connecting seas to tsunamis and other sea-level-related hazards with an effective tsunami warning and mitigation system by 2030.
North-eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected seas Tsunami Early Warning and Mitigation System (NEAMTWS): 2030 Strategy
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission
2023
0000384929

This strategy is based on three pillars that require a foundation of interoperability, sustainability and the enabling activities of research, capacity-building and performance monitoring.

It directly contributes to the United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021-2030) and its goal of working towards a "safe ocean where people are safeguarded from risks", as well as the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015-2030) that seeks to “substantially increase the availability of and access to multi-hazard early warning systems and disaster risk information and assessments”.

Regional context

Although the NEAM region's sea basins are interconnected, certain geographic features like straits often act as barriers that help attenuate tsunami propagation but also render their propagation quite complex. The Mediterranean is also more seismically active than the Atlantic, with complex tectonic variations.

For these reasons, this tsunami warning system has been structured to prioritise regional service provision, recognising that for much of the region time for warnings can be very short.

Over 80%

of tsunamis in the region are caused by submarine earthquakes.

Despite this, other disturbances like landslides, volcanic activity, and atmospheric disturbances can also trigger tsunamis, which is why NEAMTWS seeks to include non-seismic monitoring as part of the Ocean Decade Tsunami Programme Research Development and Implementation.

Awareness and response to threats requires Member States to commit to improved and expanded national tsunami warning capability and regional collaboration. The aim is an interoperable network of regional NTWCs and TSPs. This strategy provides the framework for international coordination and collaboration of Member States.

Tsunami Hazard and Risk Assessment

Strategic pillar 1 holds hazard and risk assessment as a key element of any tsunami warning system and seeks to enhance it by:

  1. Implementing probabilistic methodologies in assessments;
  2. Aiding Member States in developing specific assessments for vulnerable national sub-regions;
  3. Developing regional assessments for landslide-generated tsunamis;
  4. Developing multi-source tsunami hazard assessments.

Detection, Warning and Dissemination

Strategic pillar 2 revolves around the implementation and development of observing systems for rapid threat assessment and verification, the forecasting of wave propagation and potential impact information, and timely and accurate warning distribution between TSPs, NTWCs, civil protection authorities and communities.

It aims to strengthen this network by:

  1. Increasing the density of the detection system and its sustainability;
  2. Installing multi-hazard observations;
  3. Planning and implementing an “Inter-Operability Tool (IOT)”;
  4. Developing and implementing additional monitoring tools;
  5. Implementing Probabilistic Tsunami Forecasting;
  6. Adapting threat levels;
  7. Exploring additional sources of tsunami observations.

Awareness and Response

According to strategic pillar 3, it's crucial to keep people informed through community-specific advisory programmes, efficient adaptation and mitigation strategies, and ongoing public awareness and education campaigns. The strategy does so by:

  1. Understanding perceptions of coastal hazards and risks;
  2. Strengthening public and local authority awareness of hazards and how to prepare to respond to them;
  3. Developing tsunami-related curriculum programmes for all levels of education;
  4. Developing suitable and sustainable capacity-building programmes to facilitate response and coordination;
  5. Developing and maintaining tsunami information online;
  6. Establishing rapid and effective evacuation mechanisms based on risk assessment guidance and data;
  7. Developing and conducting regular exercises to test early warning systems and evacuation mechanisms;
  8. Rolling out the Tsunami Ready initiative across coastal communities.

Foundation

This NEAMTWS 2030 Strategy is based on a foundation of interop-erability and sustainability, together with essential research and capacity-building activities.

  • Interoperability
    TWSs need to be interoperable among Member States and TSPs, with other ICGs, and with other ocean hazards warning and mitigation systems – these synergies will increase the effectiveness of warning and mitigation systems and drive down their operating costs.
  • Sustainability
    A robust and effective TWS requires adequate funding that can evolve to meet new needs and incorporate new technologies, with Member States committing to investing in these systems and to contributeing, in whatever way possible, to their operation.
  • Research
    Each of the three pillars requires on-going research and development with the active participation of Member States to advance all elements of the TWS.
  • Building capacity
    All Member States must be able to assess their tsunami hazard and vulnerability and develop ways to mitigate the risk, warn their population quickly, and carry out awareness and preparedness activities to create an ability to respond in all sections of society.
  • Performance monitoring
    All ICGs must report to the IOC Governing Bodies on their performance against targets of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030).